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November 8, 2022
d
Projected winner
+Gain
Katie
Hobbs
50.3%
1,287,891
r
Kari
Lake
49.6%
1,270,774
100% expected votes in (Est. remaining 12,809)(Est. remaining 12,809)
d
Katie Hobbs
+Gain
50.3%
1,287,891
r
Kari Lake
49.6%
1,270,774
100% expected votes in (Est. remaining 12,809)(Est. remaining 12,809)
Democratic candidate Katie Hobbs, Arizona's current secretary of state who vocally defended the 2020 results in the state then-President Donald Trump lost, defeated Republican Kari Lake, who aligned herself closely with former President Donald Trump and his false claims of election fraud.
100
%
expected
vote in
County
Apache100% in
Cochise100% in
Coconino100% in
Gila100% in
Graham100% in
dem
Katie HobbsHobbs
50.3%
1,287,891
Percent
66.7%
41%
62.8%
34.2%
28.5%
Votes
17,739
19,137
34,389
7,674
3,087
gop
Kari LakeLake
49.6%
1,270,774
Percent
33.3%
58.9%
37.1%
65.8%
71.5%
Votes
8,870
27,481
20,298
14,763
7,760
other
Write-insWrite-ins
0.0%
820
Percent
0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
Votes
5
48
40
13
100
%
expected
vote in
% in
- 100% in
- 100% in
- 100% in
- 100% in
- 100% in
Arizona Governor exit polls
National exit polls
Updated at
Feb. 9, 2023
- Hobbs
- Lake
Gender
Male
(
47%
)
45%
54%
Female
(
53%
)
54%
45%
Race
White
(
70%
)
49%
50%
Black
(
4%
)
Not enough data
Latino
(
17%
)
51%
47%
Asian
(
1%
)
Not enough data
Other
(
7%
)
Not enough data
Race
White
(
70%
)
49%
50%
Non-White
(
30%
)
52%
46%
Sex by race
White men
(
34%
)
44%
54%
White women
(
36%
)
53%
46%
Black men
(
1%
)
Not enough data
Black women
(
3%
)
Not enough data
Latino men
(
8%
)
Not enough data
Latino women
(
10%
)
Not enough data
All other races
(
9%
)
Not enough data
Age
18-29
(
12%
)
71%
29%
30-44
(
20%
)
53%
45%
45-64
(
34%
)
43%
55%
65 or over
(
34%
)
46%
52%
Age
18-44
(
32%
)
60%
39%
45+
(
68%
)
45%
54%
Age
18-24
(
7%
)
Not enough data
25-29
(
5%
)
Not enough data
30-39
(
13%
)
55%
43%
40-49
(
14%
)
51%
47%
50-64
(
26%
)
41%
58%
65 or over
(
34%
)
46%
52%
Education
Never attended college
(
10%
)
Not enough data
Attended college but received no degree
(
32%
)
47%
51%
Associate's degree (AA or AS)
(
18%
)
41%
57%
Bachelor's degree (BA or BS)
(
23%
)
55%
44%
An advanced degree after a bachelor's degree (such as JD, MA, MBA, MD, PhD)
(
17%
)
60%
39%
Education
College graduate
(
40%
)
57%
42%
No college degree
(
60%
)
44%
54%
Education by race
White college graduates
(
32%
)
58%
41%
White non-college graduates
(
38%
)
41%
57%
Non White college graduates
(
8%
)
55%
44%
Non White non-college graduates
(
22%
)
51%
47%
Education by gender among white voters
White women college graduates
(
15%
)
64%
36%
White women non-college graduates
(
20%
)
45%
54%
White men college graduates
(
16%
)
53%
47%
White men non-college graduates
(
18%
)
36%
62%
Non-whites
(
30%
)
52%
46%
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:
Democrat
(
27%
)
95%
4%
Republican
(
33%
)
9%
91%
Independent or something else
(
40%
)
52%
45%
Party by gender
Democratic men
(
8%
)
94%
5%
Democratic women
(
19%
)
96%
4%
Republican men
(
17%
)
10%
90%
Republican women
(
17%
)
8%
91%
Independent men
(
22%
)
52%
46%
Independent women
(
18%
)
53%
45%
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
Liberal
(
22%
)
97%
2%
Moderate
(
42%
)
59%
39%
Conservative
(
36%
)
8%
91%
Are you currently married?
Yes
(
59%
)
42%
56%
No
(
41%
)
59%
40%
Gender by marital status
Married men
(
28%
)
39%
59%
Married women
(
31%
)
44%
54%
Non-married men
(
19%
)
52%
47%
Non-married women
(
22%
)
65%
34%
Is this the first time you have ever voted in a midterm election?
Yes
(
11%
)
Not enough data
No
(
89%
)
48%
50%
How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Strongly approve
(
16%
)
98%
1%
Somewhat approve
(
27%
)
96%
2%
Somewhat disapprove
(
7%
)
Not enough data
Strongly disapprove
(
50%
)
4%
95%
How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
Strongly or somewhat approve
(
43%
)
97%
2%
Strongly or somewhat disapprove
(
57%
)
12%
86%
Do you think Joe Biden’s policies are mostly:
Helping the country
(
34%
)
99%
1%
Hurting the country
(
51%
)
7%
92%
Not making a difference
(
14%
)
84%
13%
Which ONE of these five issues mattered most in deciding how you voted today:
Crime
(
6%
)
Not enough data
Abortion
(
32%
)
90%
8%
Inflation
(
36%
)
23%
74%
Gun policy
(
6%
)
Not enough data
Immigration
(
18%
)
12%
87%
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
Excellent
(
1%
)
Not enough data
Good
(
20%
)
96%
4%
Not so good
(
33%
)
70%
28%
Poor
(
46%
)
12%
86%
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
Excellent or good
(
21%
)
95%
4%
Not so good or poor
(
79%
)
37%
62%
In the last year, has inflation caused you and your family:
A severe hardship
(
25%
)
22%
75%
A moderate hardship
(
57%
)
48%
51%
No hardship at all
(
18%
)
86%
13%
Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:
Legal in all cases
(
27%
)
89%
10%
Legal in most cases
(
35%
)
62%
36%
Illegal in most cases
(
30%
)
8%
91%
Illegal in all cases
(
5%
)
Not enough data
Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:
Legal
(
62%
)
74%
24%
Illegal
(
35%
)
7%
92%
How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision on abortion this year that overturned Roe v. Wade:
Enthusiastic
(
17%
)
2%
97%
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic
(
24%
)
7%
92%
Dissatisfied, but not angry
(
18%
)
56%
40%
Angry
(
40%
)
92%
7%
How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision on abortion this year that overturned Roe v. Wade:
Enthusiastic or satisfied
(
41%
)
5%
94%
Dissatisfied or angry
(
58%
)
80%
18%
Do you think immigrants to the U.S. today do more to:
Help the country
(
50%
)
83%
16%
Hurt the country
(
46%
)
12%
86%
In the 2020 election for president, did you vote for:
Joe Biden (Dem)
(
46%
)
94%
5%
Donald Trump (Rep)
(
45%
)
5%
94%
Other
(
5%
)
Not enough data
Did not vote
(
3%
)
Not enough data
Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020?
Yes
(
63%
)
76%
22%
No
(
35%
)
2%
97%
How confident are you that elections in your state are being conducted fairly and accurately?
Very confident
(
43%
)
84%
15%
Somewhat confident
(
30%
)
30%
68%
Not very confident
(
19%
)
16%
84%
Not at all confident
(
8%
)
Not enough data
How confident are you that elections in your state are being conducted fairly and accurately?
Confident
(
73%
)
62%
37%
Not confident
(
27%
)
14%
84%
Is your opinion of Donald Trump:
Favorable
(
42%
)
5%
94%
Unfavorable
(
57%
)
82%
16%
Was one reason for your vote today:
To support Joe Biden
(
20%
)
99%
1%
To oppose Joe Biden
(
39%
)
2%
96%
Joe Biden was not a factor
(
41%
)
68%
30%
Was one reason for your vote today:
To support Donald Trump
(
17%
)
6%
93%
To oppose Donald Trump
(
34%
)
95%
3%
Donald Trump was not a factor
(
48%
)
31%
67%
In today's election for U.S. Senate, did you just vote for:
Mark Kelly
(
51%
)
95%
4%
Blake Masters
(
46%
)
1%
99%
Marc Victor
(
2%
)
Not enough data
In today's election for secretary of state, did you just vote for:
Adrian Fontes
(
51%
)
93%
6%
Mark Finchem
(
47%
)
4%
95%
Area
City over 50,000
(
46%
)
52%
46%
Suburbs
(
47%
)
48%
51%
Small city and Rural
(
7%
)
Not enough data
Region
Maricopa County
(
61%
)
49%
50%
Pima County
(
14%
)
64%
32%
Rest of State
(
24%
)
41%
58%
Election Night Coverage
How are votes in Arizona cast?
Some states and some individual counties provide results broken down by type of ballot cast, which can include Election Day votes, or those cast early, either in person or by mail. Whenever that information is widely available in a state on election night, NBC News will display it.
Break down votes by
Early by mail
2,072,354votes
(
81%
)
Top Candidate
K. Hobbs
Hobbs
D
Election day
468,757votes
(
18%
)
Top Candidate
K. Lake
Lake
R
99%
of votes broken out by vote type as of now
The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information.
Source: National Election Pool (NEP)
2022 State election results
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- West Virginia
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Election Night Coverage